Intel 10nm process has been delayed once more and it has been so since 2017 when the process was first supposed to come out. A year later and Intel seems to be no closer to making it a reality with 2019 being the latest date we can hope to see Intel 10nm process based Cannon Lake chips come out. AMD, on the other hand, is ready now and will be sampling 7nm chips later this year.
AMD is ready on both the CPU and GPU side. We are already getting information from the company about 10nm AMD Vega in the works and we have even seen some leaked benchmarks that show us initial numbers. According to AMD CEO Lisa Su:
“We have 7nm GPU based on Vega that we’ll sample later this year. We have a 7nm server CPU that we’ll sample later this year. And then, obviously, we have a number of products that are planned for 2019 as well. So it’s a very, very busy product season for us. But we’re pleased with the sort of the execution on the product roadmap”.
What this means is that for the first time in a very very long time, Intel does not have the superior node advantage as compared to the competition. Intel will need to rely on design ingenuity in order to compete with AMD this time. This could be the reason why Intel is adding people to its pool of talent at a very aggressive pace. Last year Intel hired Raja Koduri and later on Jim Keller. We have also seen a job listing that shows Intel is hiring more people to work on the next generation CPU Core.
Intel CEO had the following to say at the Q1 investors call:
We continue to make progress on our 10-nanometer process. We are shipping in low volume and yields are improving, but the rate of improvement is slower than we anticipated. As a result, volume production is moving from the second half of 2018 into 2019. We understand the yield issues and have defined improvements for them, but they will take time to implement and qualify. We have leadership products on the roadmap that continue to take advantage of 14-nanometer, with Whiskey Lake for clients and Cascade Lake for the data center coming later this year.
Note that server CPUs go through much more vigorous testing and checks before they can be shipped to market unlike the consumer chips and if AMD is ready to sample server chips then you can get money that they are well into the development of AMD Zen 2 or AMD Ryzen 3000 series CPUs as well. We talked about companies shifting to AMD due to the value that they offer. You get the same number of cores and threads for a lower cost and in some cases, you can opt to get more cores than Intel.
In a constantly growing market where innovation is key, standing still can be very dangerous indeed. We have seen AMD made that mistake and come back strong and now we are seeing Intel make that same mistake. From the looks of things AMD will get to market first and with the better process, it will offer better value for money as compared to Intel. According to CFO Bob Swan:
“We think we’ve bit off a little too much in this case. It may not seem like a lot, but 10 percent [scaling factor] can make a lot of difference in this kind of the world.”
There are those who would rather buy now than wait and same applies to AMD and Intel. Why would someone wait for Intel to release their offering when there is a good option on the market now. Keeping in mind AMD will have the smaller node. This is where AMD will have gained an edge by then.
This is mostly speculation and we will have to wait and see how things actually play out. For more news regarding Intel 10nm process stay tuned to SegmentNext.
Let us know what you think about Intel 10nm Process being delayed yet again and whether or not you think AMD will gain a significant edge due to this delay.